Random

Oh please not again…


 

My hands are shaking.  I’ve just gotten off the phone to my sister who lives in Cairns, telling her to put all the kids in the van and run.  As I hung up the Queensland radio feed we were listening to announced that if you are not on the road now, you’ve left it too late and need to stay in your home.  If only I believed prayer would make an ounce of difference it might soothe me and help me to sleep tonight.  The current map shows her on the very edge of the eye of the cyclone.  Regardless she’s in for a terrifying next 24 hours.

Any visitors looking for updates on Cyclone Yasi the two best sources of information will be:

If you too have family or friends you’re concerned about my thoughts are with you during this terrifying time!  For my sister the wind has just started to pick up…though this is just the beginning.

SEVERE [TROPICAL]C[YCLONE] YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, ESPECIALLY BETWEEN CAIRNS AND TOWNSVILLE.

THIS IMPACT IS LIKELY TO BE MORE LIFE THREATENING THAN ANY EXPERIENCED DURING RECENT GENERATIONS.


AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE BRISBANE

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi

Issued at 7:57 am EST Wednesday 2 February 2011. Refer to Tropical Cyclone Advice Number 12.

 

 

Community Threat Past Cyclone Details
Warning Zone – Gales within 24 hours
Watch Zone – Gales from 24 to 48 hours
Past Location and Intensity Number
Past Track and Movement
Current Cyclone Details Forecast Cyclone Details
(at 24 and 48 hours from issue)
Current Location and Intensity Number
Very Destructive Winds
Destructive Winds
Strong Gale Force Winds
Forecast Location and Intensity Number
Very Destructive Wind Boundary
Destructive Wind Boundary
Strong Gale Force Wind Boundary
Most Likely Future Track
Range of Likely Tracks of Cyclone Centre

The forecast path shown above is the Bureau’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.

This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Remarks:

SEVERE TC YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, ESPECIALLY BETWEEN CAIRNS AND TOWNSVILLE.

THIS IMPACT IS LIKELY TO BE MORE LIFE THREATENING THAN ANY EXPERIENCED DURING RECENT GENERATIONS.

TC Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly direction during the day. The cyclone is expected to cross the coast in the Innisfail area at about midnight.

Coastal residents within the warning area, and particularly between Cairns and Ayr are specifically warned of an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm tide] as the cyclone approaches, crosses the coast and moves inland. The sea is likely to steadily rise up to a level which will be VERY DANGEROUSLY above the normal tide, with EXTREMELY DAMAGING WAVES, STRONG CURRENTS and FLOODING of low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible, and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by authorities.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr that are currently developing on coastal islands, are forecast to develop about the coast by late morning and about the tropical interior overnight.

Between Cape Tribulation and Ingham these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts in excess of 125km/hr during the afternoon and early evening and VERY DESTRUCTIVE with gusts up to 300 km/hr between Cairns and Ingham during the evening as the cyclone approaches and crosses the coast. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds can also occur on the seaward side of hills to the north of the cyclone and are also forecast to reach the Atherton Tablelands.

Winds are forecast to ease about the east coast during Thursday morning as the cyclone moves inland.

FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Sarina during the afternoon and then extend inland overnight.

People between Cape Melville and Sarina, extending inland to Croydon and Richmond should complete preparations quickly and be prepared to shelter in a safe place.
– Boats and outside property should be secured.
– For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland’s Disaster Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)
– For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage).

People about the remaining tropical interior east of Camooweal and north of Winton should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases.
– Information is available from your local government
– For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland’s Disaster Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)
– For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage).

Name: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi

Details:

Time (EST) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.)
Longitude
(decimal deg.)
Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 7 am February 2 5 16.1S 150.9E 20
+6hr 1 pm February 2 5 16.7S 149.1E 45
+12hr 7 pm February 2 5 17.2S 147.5E 75
+18hr 1 am February 3 4 17.8S 145.8E 100
+24hr 7 am February 3 2 18.5S 144.1E 130
+36hr 7 pm February 3 1 19.8S 141.1E 190
+48hr 7 am February 4 tropical low 20.9S 138.4E 250

The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 11:00 am EST Wednesday

2 thoughts on “Oh please not again…”

  1. I just got off weather.com and she’s going to be right in the path! I hope she heeds the warnings and gets to safety! That poor country! First all the flooding, and now this! I hope they get the aid they need!! And I hope your sister stays safe! I know you must feel so helpless. Nothing you can do but just wait. And I know that’s the hardest part!

  2. She wasn’t officially evacuated and I’d imagine the road congestion is crazy now (contributing factor to them telling people to now stay in their homes) so she and my nephews and nieces are in their home waiting it out. They have supplies, water, torches and spare batteries and they’ve taped their windows so I guess there’s nothing more they can do now.

    I haven’t told our kids yet, I don’t know what to tell them at this point. I don’t want them going to school in the morning worried sick about their cousins and Aunty.

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